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Nicolas Jarry vs Sebastian Baez Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Jarry vs Baez analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Nicolas Jarry vs Sebastian Baez Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Jarry 1 - 1 Baez

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Jarry has won 51.31% of points on their second serve, while Baez has won 53.49%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Jarry, in recent form, has won 48.4% of their opponent's second serve points, while Baez has won 52.49%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.87% and 35.09% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Jarry has saved 65.22% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Baez has saved 60.67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Jarry has won 58.62% of matches played (W/L 34/ 24), with Baez winning 61.29% (W/L 38/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Jarry has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 296/ 159), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 33% (W/L 9/ 18). Baez has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 205/ 86), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 8% (W/L 1/ 12).
  • Player level: In the last year, Jarry has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.33% of matches (W/L 14/ 10), where as Baez has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.5% of matches (W/L 27/ 13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Jarry winning 1 times and Baez being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Jarry winning 2 and Baez winning 2. The last match between Jarry and Baez was at the Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro, 24-02-2023, Quarterfinals, Clay with Nicolas Jarry getting the victory 6-3 7-6(3).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:34:23.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Jarry and Baez have played a deciding set 0 times, with Jarry winning 0 times and Baez 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Jarry winning 1, and Baez 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Jarry has played against opponents with an average rank of 135.91 while Baez has played against players with an average rank of 157.21.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Jarry has won 58% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Baez has won 54% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Jarry has converted 34.02% of breakpoint opportunities, and Baez has converted 44.64% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Nicolas Jarry

14

Total

0

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

6

Minor

20

Rank

16

High

28

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

19

Rank

19

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Sebastian Baez

17

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

5

Minor

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L W W W W W L L

Form

L W L W L W W L W L

60% (392-258)

Career Total W/L

65% (240-132)

55% (16-13)

YTD W/L

63% (22-13)

$3,156,540

Career Prize Money

$2,429,670

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Jarry VS Baez H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Nicolas Jarry Sebastian Baez
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 2 2
Games Won 21 21
Aces (Total) 10 2
DFs (Total) 5 5
Avg Match Time 1:34:23 1:34:23
1st Serve % 56% (71/126) 73% (96/131)
1st Serve Win% 75% (53/71) 65% (62/96)
2nd Serve Win% 56% (31/55) 63% (22/35)
BPs Won% (Total) 25% (3/12) 57% (4/7)
Return Points W% 36% (47/131) 33% (42/126)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Jarry VS Baez H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(3)
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Sebastian Baez
54% ( 34 of 63)
1st Serve %
79% ( 55 of 70)
6
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
1
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 7 of 15)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 30 of 70)
75
Total Points Won
58
6-4 6-4
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Nicolas Jarry
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
59% ( 37 of 63)
0
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
71% ( 29 of 41)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 15 of 26)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 63)
68
Total Points Won
56

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Nicolas Jarry Sebastian Baez
YTD W/L 55% (16/13) 63% (22/13)
Sets Win/Loss 51% (38/37) 59% (55/38)
Games Win/Loss 50% (388/382) 53% (458/413)
Hard Win/Loss 58% (7/5) 38% (3/5)
Clay Win/Loss 53% (9/8) 70% (19/8)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.63 0.18
Aces Total 239 78
DFs per game 0.15 0.14
DFs Total 57 58
Avg Match Time 2:18:30 1:57:43
Avg Opp Rank 154.76 172.09
1st Serve % 64% (1526/2401) 72% (1992/2766)
1st Serve W% 74% (1132/1526) 63% (1263/1992)
2nd Serve W% 51% (449/875) 53% (414/774)
BPs Won% Total 34% (66/194) 45% (129/289)
Return Pts W% 35% (878/2482) 42% (1123/2693)
Slam W/L 0% (0/2) 60% (3/2)
Masters W/L 62% (8/5) 38% (3/5)
Cups W/L 50% (1/1) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 58% (7/5) 71% (15/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 58% (15/26) 63% (19/30)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 60% (3/5)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (8/16) 50% (5/10)
Deciding Set W% 64% (9/14) 50% (7/14)
1st set W, W 92% (12/11) 77% (22/17)
1st set W, L 8% (12/1) 23% (22/5)
1st set L, W 24% (17/4) 38% (13/5)

Nicolas Jarry Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Nicolas Jarry
67% ( 64 of 96)
1st Serve %
68% ( 75 of 110)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 49 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
37% ( 7 of 19)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 52 of 110)
117
Total Points Won
89
L
6-2 6-1 3-6 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
80% ( 39 of 49)
1st Serve %
68% ( 49 of 72)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 37 of 39)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 38 of 49)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
10% ( 5 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 26 of 72)
70
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Tommy Paul
66% ( 78 of 118)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
13
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
53% ( 21 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
38% ( 45 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 30 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
103
W
6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve %
69% ( 71 of 103)
8
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
69% ( 47 of 68)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 51 of 71)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
34% ( 35 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
105
Total Points Won
101
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Alexandre Muller
68% ( 41 of 60)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
15
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 74)
75
Total Points Won
59
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefano Napolitano
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve %
52% ( 42 of 81)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
35% ( 29 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 31 of 81)
86
Total Points Won
79
W
6-2 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
W
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Nicolas Jarry
58% ( 53 of 91)
1st Serve %
62% ( 58 of 94)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
3
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 39 of 58)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 31 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 40 of 94)
100
Total Points Won
85
L
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Marco Trungelliti
Player
Nicolas Jarry
62% ( 53 of 86)
1st Serve %
64% ( 42 of 66)
1
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 16 of 24)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
33% ( 28 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 22 of 66)
80
Total Points Won
72
L
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Player
Nicolas Jarry
77% ( 62 of 81)
1st Serve %
54% ( 37 of 68)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 23 of 37)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
35% ( 28 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 68)
80
Total Points Won
69
L
6-4 7-5 H2H

Sebastian Baez Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Sebastian Baez
61% ( 115 of 190)
1st Serve %
78% ( 130 of 166)
6
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
62% ( 71 of 115)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 79 of 130)
57% ( 43 of 75)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 23 of 36)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
40% ( 76 of 190)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 64 of 166)
178
Total Points Won
178
L
3-6 3-6 6-4 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Gustavo Heide
75% ( 124 of 165)
1st Serve %
49% ( 68 of 138)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
63% ( 78 of 124)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 40 of 68)
49% ( 20 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 32 of 70)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
41% ( 67 of 165)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 66 of 138)
164
Total Points Won
139
W
4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Sebastian Baez
63% ( 50 of 79)
1st Serve %
80% ( 67 of 84)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
37% ( 29 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 32 of 84)
82
Total Points Won
81
L
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
81% ( 42 of 52)
1st Serve %
78% ( 38 of 49)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
33% ( 17 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 26 of 49)
61
Total Points Won
40
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Sumit Nagal
77% ( 55 of 71)
1st Serve %
73% ( 43 of 59)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
73% ( 40 of 55)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 30 of 43)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 21 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
61
W
7-6(7) 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Sebastian Baez
57% ( 58 of 102)
1st Serve %
72% ( 78 of 109)
17
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
84% ( 49 of 58)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 49 of 78)
41% ( 18 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
34% ( 35 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 109)
108
Total Points Won
103
L
5-7 7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Dusan Lajovic
78% ( 69 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 51 of 83)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
57% ( 39 of 69)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
45% ( 40 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 43 of 83)
91
Total Points Won
80
W
7-6(3) 7-6(6) H2H
R3
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Sebastian Baez
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve %
79% ( 42 of 53)
11
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 23 of 42)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 7 of 11)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 8 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 23 of 53)
59
Total Points Won
38
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Luca Van Assche
67% ( 72 of 108)
1st Serve %
72% ( 87 of 121)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
67% ( 48 of 72)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 56 of 87)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 15 of 34)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 40 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 50 of 121)
118
Total Points Won
111
W
6-4 6-7(2) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55% ( 52 of 95)
1st Serve %
66% ( 83 of 125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 46 of 83)
44% ( 19 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
41% ( 39 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 58 of 125)
114
Total Points Won
106
L
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 H2H

Jarry Vs Baez Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Jarry are available here and Baez photos here.


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